Learn by Example

See What Great Theses Look Like

Before you write your own, see how others structure their investment convictions. These examples show the level of clarity that leads to better decisions.

What makes a thesis great?

  • Clear "why" — not just "I think it'll go up"
  • Specific breaker — what would prove you wrong
  • Personal stakes — why it matters to YOU
  • Pre-committed action — decided before emotions hit
B
Bitcoin BTC
Example Valid
Why I Hold
"I believe Bitcoin is the best asymmetric bet on a global monetary reset. Institutional adoption is accelerating with ETFs, and the halving supply dynamics create predictable scarcity that no other asset has."
Macro / Store of Value thesis
Primary Thesis Breaker
ETF flows turn persistently negative for 60+ days
"If institutions are fleeing, my adoption thesis is broken. BTC won't decouple from risk assets—it'll just be a leveraged tech bet with no unique value proposition."
If This Triggers, I Will...
Reduce my position by 50%
E
Ethereum ETH
Example Valid
Why I Hold
"ETH captures value from every L2 through gas fees and blob data. As rollups scale and onboard millions of users, Ethereum becomes the global settlement layer—the 'port authority' that collects fees on all economic activity."
Infrastructure / Value Capture thesis
Primary Thesis Breaker
L2 activity declines 50%+ from peak
"If L2s die, my value-capture thesis is dead. ETH becomes just an expensive, slow chain with no unique advantage over Solana or newer L1s."
If This Triggers, I Will...
Exit fully
S
Solana SOL
Example Valid
Why I Hold
"Solana is winning the speed/cost war and memecoins prove it. Retail follows fun, builders follow retail, and VCs follow builders. The flywheel is spinning and SOL is at the center."
Momentum / Ecosystem Growth thesis
Primary Thesis Breaker
Network outage lasting 24+ hours
"If Solana can't stay up, nothing else matters. Speed means nothing if users can't trust the chain to be there when they need it. Reliability is table stakes."
If This Triggers, I Will...
Re-evaluate within 7 days
H
Hyperliquid HYPE
Example Valid
Why I Hold
"Hyperliquid is eating CEX market share with better UX and true self-custody. They've built CEX-level speed on-chain, and the airdrop created a rabid community. This is what 'DeFi done right' looks like."
Product / Market Disruption thesis
Primary Thesis Breaker
Perp trading volume drops 60%+ from ATH
"Volume is everything for a trading platform. If traders leave, revenue dies, and the token has nothing backing its value. I'm betting on product-market fit—if it's not there, I'm out."
If This Triggers, I Will...
Reduce my position by 50%

Now It's Your Turn

You've seen what clarity looks like. Create your own thesis and we'll help you stick to it when emotions run high.

Create Your Thesis

Takes about 60 seconds. Your future self will thank you.