Build your cycle ladder
You supply the cycle view. This turns it into a laddered schedule and then stress tests it against outcomes you did not predict. TokenIntel does not publish a bottom or a top, so the two anchors below are yours and the output is only as good as they are.
Measured context
MeasuredFacts you can form a view from. None of these are predictions. See the full cycle position →
Your cycle view
Your inputsThere are no defaults here on purpose. A prefilled number would be a forecast, and we do not publish one.
Accumulation ladder
From your bottom anchor| Level | Vs your anchor | Tranche | Capital | Status |
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Distribution ladder
From your top anchor| Level | Vs your anchor | Vs prior peak | Tranche | Cumulative |
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Rules that make it work
MechanicsA ladder is only as good as its edge cases. These three exist because each one, left out, breaks the schedule in a specific way.
What happens when you are wrong
Stress testReturn on total capital, with the drawdown stop applied to whatever the ladder did not distribute. Rows are the low actually reached, columns the high actually reached. Your anchors are marked.
Before you use this
Read- The anchors are assumptions, not analysis. Every number below them inherits their error. A ladder converts a view into discipline; it cannot make a wrong view right.
- The entry anchor matters more than the exit. In most configurations, missing the bottom costs more than missing the top, because capital that never deploys earns nothing.
- Cycle regularities rest on three cycles. Bitcoin has completed roughly three of them. Anything resembling a pattern here is drawn from a handful of observations and cannot be validated in any near-term sense.
- Costs are excluded. No taxes, no fees, no slippage, and idle capital is modelled at zero yield. All four move real outcomes.
- This is not advice. It is arithmetic applied to numbers you chose. TokenIntel does not know your circumstances and is not recommending any transaction.